An analysis of the state shows Trump is turning red areas even more Republican.
Democrats believed that population growth in high-density areas of North Carolina would help them turn the red tide, but a separate trend might crush those hopes completely.
The Cook Political Report changed North Carolina from a right-leaning to a toss-up state based on demographic trends, but an analysis by NBC poll analyst Steve Kornacki says former President Donald Trump is also gaining in Republican-leaning parts of the state.
'Republicans have made gains. They sort of almost canceled each other out there.'
Kornacki points out that Democrats have been able to shave down Trump's advantage in the state from a gap of about 175k votes in the 2016 election down to only 75k votes in the 2020 election against Biden. This has led many Democrats to believe that Vice President Kamala Harris might be able to turn the state blue.
"One thing we see is Democratic support getting increasingly concentrated geographically into metropolitan areas, suburbs with high concentrations of college diplomas," he explained.
